《DOTA2》簡單的代碼計算下LGD積分前4的可能性和概率
- DOTA2
346356593：你是算的每個比賽55開？ 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
暴走的冰女mm：先說下結果，模擬100次，LGD前4加賽的概率竟然有40% 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
暴走的冰女mm：隨便放幾個結果：
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='3'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=vg, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
======================== 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
暴走的冰女mm：Team{name=aster, score='6'}
Team{name=ig, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=magma, score='1'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=aster, score='6'}
Team{name=ig, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=elephant, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=magma, score='1'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=elephant, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='1'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=aster, score='6'}
Team{name=ig, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=magma, score='1'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
======================== 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
暴走的冰女mm：Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=elephant, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=elephant, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=vg, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=aster, score='6'}
Team{name=ig, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=elephant, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=magma, score='1'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=vg, score='6'}
Team{name=ig, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=aster, score='6'}
Team{name=ig, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='3'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=elephant, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=elephant, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='1'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
Team{name=ehome, score='1'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='7'}
Team{name=elephant, score='5'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=aster, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
========================
Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=aster, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='4'}
Team{name=lgd, score='4'}
Team{name=elephant, score='4'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=ehome, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='0'}
======================== 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
暴走的冰女mm：明天把勝率算進去再測試下 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
去了奧：你他娘的不去國足應聘真是可惜了 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
符合國家33：別模擬了，LGD進前四的前提只有一個，后面兩把全勝。 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
暴走的冰女mm：Team{name=ig, score='6'}
Team{name=vg, score='5'}
Team{name=aster, score='5'}
Team{name=lgd, score='3'}
Team{name=elephant, score='3'}
Team{name=ehome, score='3'}
Team{name=magma, score='2'}
Team{name=lbzs, score='1'}
輸一把也有機會 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
力量本不可怕：除了前四 后面幾支隊伍去哪 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
_手寫的從前i：指定概率的話，高中概率知識不是就解決了嗎？指定概率的話還需要多次實驗采集數據嗎？ 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
暴走的冰女mm：一個好消息，OG快沒了 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
qwerfdsa87：只要lgd后面二場贏了就肯定能加賽，vg和小象無論誰輸都有三個敗場了 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
wniao0：只要平局，國足就進出線了 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
隨影55555：明早去南通水廠報道，數據分析師這個位子給你留了好久了 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
和藹的gaben：lgd vg 小象這幾個隊打你可以算55開，小象打lbzs直接算勝利，這樣算法就不會太復雜 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
囡囡小石榴：知道了，明天報名去做碼農 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
塵世如此美：lgd的命運還是掌握在自己手中，只要自己后面兩場全勝，必定加賽 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
裁決丶King：昨天看vg打茶隊感覺ig要7-0，lgd得靠自己后面兩局都得贏 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
5221211998：Lgd,我算是沒指望嘍 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
Bayean：關鍵就2場，一場lgd vg，一場vg 小象 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
版本背包：這也要計算嗎？指定冠軍100% 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
Darling灬柒：你這，工作量不飽和啊 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
珺瀞：不用算了， 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
靈符醉客小號：然后根據最終lgd有沒有出線，可以反推極大似然勝率 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
2368217fmg：比賽概率要是都看成55開 那計算就沒意義了 比如 小象打MGM 能算成55開嗎。 如果加賽的是小象和LGD
就LGD 最近打小象的勝率 能算成55開嗎
不如測下3隊同分 LGD 直接撲街的概率吧 三隊同分5-2 的概率更高 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
天琊的噬魂：又到了中國隊算出線幾率的時候？ 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
月之死祭女：沒意義，lgd關鍵局容易尿 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
maggiemmmmm11：嘰嘰開？？？？？？？？？ 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
我的殺意已決3：我怎么感受到了一種“打平即可出線”的既視感。 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
as85931892010：看看你match怎么寫的?講道理這種預測類你得根據歷史戰績跑個模型吧？ 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
家養火狐：你這個勝率也沒什么毛病.不過得再乘上贏eh得概率0.5和贏vg的概率0.2就差不多了.0.4×0.5×0.2 你再寫個程序算算.多少來著? 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
灰塵聚集體：最可怕的結果是：
3月7日ehome贏了lgd，3月12日vg又贏了lgd，3月13日小象就坡下驢輸給magma，這樣lgd就得和magma打降級附加賽了
傷害一般，侮辱性極強 發布于 2024-01-14 07:10:04
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